- Short sellers lost billions on their bets after GameStop had an unprecedented gains this year.
- GameStop shares are trading above $200, which is about 9 times above its price earlier this year.
- The stocks short interest rate is still one of the highest on the market.
- Visit Business Insiders homepage for more stories.
GameStop short-sellers have taken a hit this year as the stock has risen to unprecedented levels, in what analysts have dubbed an irrational rally stoked by the Reddit group Wall Street Bets.
Investors always have the option to short a companys stock. In the case of GameStop, Melvin Capital and Citron Research were among the list of short sellers, and they lost their bet, by a lot. Members of the subReddit group, which has more than 6 million users, have been bidding up GameStop shares in the three months, causing the stock to skyrocket above $300 in mid-January, to now around $200.
And short sellers have lost billions.
To short a stock means the investor is betting the price of that companys shares will decline. (In a normal bet, which is called going long, investors purchase a stock with the hopes of it increasing).
In shorting a stock, an investor borrows shares from a lender, lets say at $10 per share. The investor then takes the borrowed shares and sells them for that same price. Once the stock goes down, to lets say $1 per share, the investor buys the shares back and returns them to the lender, pocketing $9 per share.
Lets say you short XYZ company at $100, and the next day it goes to $10. You take $10 out of your pocket and buy back the stock and give it to the guy you borrowed it from. And you have $90 in your pocket, Michael Pachter, an analyst at Wedbush, told Insider. Pachter added that theres the added cost of paying the interest on borrowing the stock, though if an investor only holds a short position for a month, the interest would be negligible.
But sometimes, like in the case of GameStop, the shorts get squeezed when the shares go up, said Telsey analyst Joe Feldman, who rates the shares sell with a $30 target price. The buyers of the stock send the price up forcing the shorts to close their positions and become buyers, sending the price even higher. So if the shares were borrowed when the stock was $10, and now the stock is $20, the investor loses $10 per share.
GameStop short-sellers Melvin Capital and Citron Research lost a lot when the stock started spiking, said Pachter. Theyve both since closed out of their short positions. CNBC reported that hedge fund Melvin Capital ate a huge loss in January when it closed its short position. Citron managing partner Andrew Left said that the firms position was covered when GameStop traded at about $90 at a loss of 100%.
Theres a point where the shorts say, This is crazy Im getting out, Pachter said. Even GameStop executives have acknowledge the stock is extremely volatile, but said its out of their control.
The problem with shorting the stock at the higher price now, betting it will go back to normal levels, is that analysts are unsure where the irrational share increase will stop. What if it goes to infinity? Pachter said. According to MarketBeat data, GameStops short interest rate is still high at 18.7%, though lower than before.
Joost van Dreunen, who teaches at the New York University Stern School of Business and has an expertise in gaming, said the GameStop valuation is totally disconnected from reality. GameStops record highs prior to this rally were in 2007 and 2013 when the Nintendo Wii and Switch launched, respectively, and pushed the stock to about $60.
That was their absolute high watermark, and they havent been able to recover it since, van Dreunen said. The current situation is just post-modern financial drama totally void of reality.
Fundamentally, nothing has changed for the company, Feldman said.
Tell us about you
Find us at the office
Kajioka- Constanza street no. 39, 50889 Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia
Give us a ring
+59 850 269 756
Mon - Fri, 10:00-14:00